Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.049437 0.057693 0.066761 0.077444 0.089663 0.103184 0.119257
2025-03-16 0.035892 0.046396 0.059017 0.075220 0.095384 0.119560 0.150643
2025-03-23 0.029339 0.041467 0.057209 0.078956 0.108003 0.145218 0.196220
2025-03-30 0.023608 0.036198 0.053727 0.079580 0.116330 0.166212 0.238434
2025-04-06 0.018733 0.030991 0.049199 0.077708 0.120580 0.181846 0.274972
2025-04-13 0.015213 0.027004 0.045593 0.076328 0.124948 0.197693 0.313121
2025-04-20 0.013538 0.025567 0.045544 0.080167 0.137364 0.226347 0.372743
2025-04-27 0.012003 0.024037 0.045025 0.083033 0.148395 0.253783 0.432987
2025-05-04 0.009991 0.021245 0.041873 0.080919 0.150812 0.267577 0.472693
2025-05-11 0.008543 0.019223 0.039732 0.080181 0.155308 0.284961 0.519555
2025-05-18 0.007160 0.017048 0.036937 0.077786 0.156449 0.296559 0.557433
2025-05-25 0.006096 0.015328 0.034735 0.076153 0.158674 0.310059 0.599528
2025-06-01 0.005394 0.014292 0.033803 0.076996 0.165858 0.333454 0.661983
2025-06-08 0.004533 0.012706 0.031458 0.074607 0.166431 0.344710 0.703345
2025-06-15 0.004228 0.012416 0.031914 0.078221 0.179511 0.380823 0.794307
2025-06-22 0.003759 0.011605 0.031045 0.078791 0.186299 0.405289 0.864980
2025-06-29 0.003215 0.010471 0.029217 0.076912 0.187601 0.418900 0.915474
2025-07-06 0.002779 0.009531 0.027702 0.075532 0.189796 0.434438 0.970990
2025-07-13 0.002634 0.009422 0.028294 0.079328 0.204072 0.476317 1.083491
2025-07-20 0.002459 0.009179 0.028492 0.082164 0.216410 0.515061 1.192349
2025-07-27 0.002117 0.008318 0.026856 0.080069 0.216828 0.527998 1.247610
2025-08-03 0.001868 0.007701 0.025798 0.079337 0.220441 0.548237 1.320052
2025-08-10 0.001602 0.006954 0.024223 0.076964 0.219689 0.558518 1.371385